With a 10% lead over Barack Obama, Hillary was able to pull off a great win in Pennsylvania last night. A lot of people have a lot of things to say, with most looking at Obama and wondering why he just can’t seem to “end the game.” For all of his rhetoric and all of his money spent, after 4 weeks in PA, he still lost by over 215,000 people… that’s a pretty big loss. Obama outspent Clinton in the state almost 3:1, spending at least $11 million dollars (according to his camp), yet just couldn’t bring home the “win.” So what is going on here? There are plenty of thoughts on the subject, for example this is from Anderson Cooper and deals with the “late voters”:
According to Yahoo News, the most recent local “search buzz” stats for Pennsylvania (as of yesterday) show that users in city after city searched the word “Obama” four times as much as they did the word “Clinton.” They were more curious about Obama from one end of the state to the other.
The problem for Obama was that his negative-related searches—searches of terms “Rev. Wright” and “bitter,” for instance – outnumbered all searches for Clinton by a margin of 7 to 1. While folks followed the rumor mill with Obama, even searching his name with Brad Pitt after reports surfaced they may be related, Clinton searchers predominantly focused on policy-related matters like “health care” and “economy.”
CNN exit polls show of the 18 percent of voters who decided their vote the final three days, Clinton handily won those voters 58% to 42%.
So are the comments and other issues surrounding Obama now coming to the front? Will this affect him in the coming races? He’s expected to win North Carolina, which is just 2 weeks away, but the latest polls show him with just a 9% lead, and with news like this:
Howard Fineman is reporting on MSNBC that Clinton will soldier on to North Carolina and to not be surprised if Elizabeth Edwards makes several appearances with Hillary and let her feelings be known who she stands with. He says that this could have a real impact there as they love Mrs. Edwards.
He did say that while this was likely to happen, John Edwards would remain “neutral” on the sidelines.
Clinton could feasibly win (as it says, they love Mrs. Edwards, and some will see it as a “silent” endorsement by John himself)… and if she does, what does that mean for the Superdelegates? Will they continue to support Obama, or will the tide turn, looking to Clinton as regaining her strength in time for the General Election? Also, according to Real Clear Politics, here is the current (estimated) popular vote results:
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI, Estimating IA, NV, ME & WA):
Barack Obama: 15,307,804 47.5%
Hillary Clinton: 15,319,525 47.5%
Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals. RealClearPolitics has estimated the popular vote totals for Senator Obama and Clinton in these four states. RCP uses the WA Caucus results from February 9 in this estimate because the Caucuses on February 9 were the “official” contest recognized by the DNC to determine delegates to the Democratic convention. The estimate from these four Caucus states where there are not official popular vote numbers increases Senator Obama’s popular vote margin by 110,224. This number would be about 50,000 less if the Washington primary results from February 19th were used instead of the Washington Caucus results. This count also includes certified vote totals in Florida and Michigan.
You can either call this a statistical tie, or say that Hillary Clinton is now leading the popular vote. While it’s not any “official” indicator, it’s a lot to think about at this point in the game. It seems that also with the wind, she’s found new support in contributors with her website saying:
The campaign has raised more than $3.5 million since PA polls closed last night…last night’s fundraising total the was the strongest ever.
The unofficial reports (yet to be verified) are stating:
Clinton campaign Chairman Terry McAuliffe just announced that the campaign has raised $10 million from 50,000 new donors since the polls closed last night.
If this is true, Mr. Obama may face some serious heat in the coming weeks. Only time will tell what happens here, but I think it just got a bit more interesting. For those interested, here are the current remaining Primaries:
May 3: Guam
May 6: Indiana and North Carolina
May 13: West Virginia
May 20: Kentucky and Oregon
June 1: Puerto Rico
June 3: Montana and South Dakota
Let’s keep on watching and see what happens!
