Posts Tagged ‘ Clinton

Electoral Votes! 24 March 2008 at 9:10 am by Jason 206 views

With so much time being spent on polls and such on the 2008 Primary, Electoral-Votes.com decided to start a running Electoral Vote map. The first map is a Barack Obama vs. John McCain, and the other is Hillary Clinton vs. John McCain. He will be updating the maps daily, and here’s what he has to say about them:

Starting today and until we have a Democratic nominee, two maps will be available for the general election, one for Obama-McCain and one for Clinton-McCain. Links to them will be given below the main map. Please keep in mind that in politics, a week is a long time and 7 months is forever. If you doubt this, check out the electoral college graph for 2004. Notice that Kerry was ahead by 125-150 electoral votes all summer, until the Swift Boat ad started, which precipitated a huge decline from which he never recovered. This graph will be run again this year, but we need a pair of nominees first.

Nevertheless, from a quick inspection of the Obama-McCain and Clinton-McCain maps you can see graphically what you probably already knew. Hillary Clinton is a traditional Democrat and does well in places Democrats usually do well in. She also does well in Florida due to the large number of New York snowbirds who live there in the winter. If she is the nominee, you are going to see a monumental traffic jam Nov. 1 all up and down the East Coast as hundreds of thousands of snowbirds drive down to Florida in time to vote there Nov. 4. Of course, McCain can neutralize her by picking popular Florida governor Charlie Crist as his running mate.

Clinton also does well in the rust belt, but if the economy is in deep doo doo come November, any Democrat can win those states by just talking jobs jobs jobs instead of tax cuts. Obama’s strength is in the red states. He might be able to win Colorado (which has been trending blue anyway) and Nevada. No matter what the map shows, he’s not going to win North Dakota unless buffalos get the vote real quick. But he could easily force McCain to spend real money in states that ought to be no-brainers, like Texas (SurveyUSA’s poll shows McCain ahead of Obama there only 47% to 46%). In short, Clinton’s slogan will be “Kerry + Florida whereas Obama will be playing Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy.

So, with all that… what do the current numbers show? Let’s take a look. First up, Obama/McCain:

Obama/McCain Map

Electoral Votes: Obama 231 — McCain 292 — Ties 15

Ouch. Hello President McCain as of today’s numbers. Now it’s on to Clinton/McCain:

Clinton/McCain Map

Electoral Votes: Clinton 268 — McCain 246 — Ties 24

Would you look at that? Hello Mrs. President as of today’s numbers. Interesting! It’ll be neat to see how these maps change over the course of the next few months!



+ Good News, Everyone! By Jason 20 March 2008 at 12:30 pm 114 views No Comments

The second Futurama movie now has a release date… June 24th! That is less than 100 days away! The movie will be a direct sequel to Bender’s Big Score and will be titled “The Beast With A Billion Backs”. Here is a little more info:

As Bender’s Big Score gets set to air in four installments on Comedy Central later this month, Fox Home Entertainment ahs announced that the next adventure in the series of Futurama DVD movies will be available at retail this summer. The Fate of human and robot-kind is at stake when Futurama: The Beast With A Billion Backs debuts at retail on June 24.

In what Fox is calling the most tentacle-packed Futurama epic, space itself rips open, revealing a gateway to another universe. What lies beyond is a mix of horror and love as the Planet Express crew encounters a repulsive, planet-sized monster with romantic intentions.

The second feature-length Futurama film will be followed by at least two more movies from series creators Matt Groening and David X. Cohen. The show’s entire voice cast and most of its main writers have returned to help revive the series, which FOX cancelled in 2003. Groening, who also created The Simpsons, has told us that Futurama is the animated show he’s most proud of. Those who haven’t picked up Bender’s Big Score on DVD yet can catch it on Comedy Central on March 23 at 8 p.m.

If that wasn’t enough, South Park is now airing all their episodes for free on their website… check it out here:

South Park Studios

Awesome, awesome news! One last thing that I’m sure will make you all happy… Hillary Clinton has regained her lead over Barack Obama. Check out the article here… or just read below:

Hillary Clinton has reclaimed the lead from Barack Obama in the Democratic presidential race for the first time since early February, a new national poll out Thursday suggests.

In the latest Gallup daily tracking poll, Clinton holds a 7 point lead over the Illinois senator, 49 to 42 percent. That lead is outside the poll’s statistical margin of error of 3 points — the widest gap between the two candidates in weeks.

Clinton’s last lead was in a Gallup poll taken just after the round Super Tuesday contests, and the two candidates have been statistically tied since. But Obama has held a numerical lead over Clinton for most of that time, and started to decline in the tracking poll late last week — a sign the uproar over his former pastor’s sermon’s may be taking its toll.

It’ll be interesting to see where that goes… can Barack regain his momentum? Will Hillary ride this wave through Pennsylvania and beyond? As usual, only time will tell!



+ An update to the post about Rev. Wright By Jason 14 March 2008 at 9:03 am 116 views No Comments

After doing a bit more searching, I came across this video:

“Hillary Ain’t Never Been Called A N****r”

This was a sermon given by the good Reverend and it is incredibily racist, and also pretty shocking.  He compares Obama to Jesus (as both being poor black men), he compares the Romans to Hillary Clinton and Giuliani, he talks about the “rich white people” as if they’re the devil.  Why is this okay?  Why is it okay to hate white people in this country?  No matter what you want to say, it’s still racist.  Why is it that we have the spiritual advisor to someone who may become President spouting it left and right, with almost no news of it?  Why doesn’t Obama condemn what he says?  And before Obama can give the standard “Well, they’re not parts of my official campaign” speech… Reverend Jeremiah Wright is part of it, via Politico:

Wright is a member of Obama’s African American Religious Leadership Committee — the sort of largely honorary, advisory body that in recent days has recently been used mostly to throw people off who say controversial things.

Anywho, here are some good quotes (and good info) for you.  First, from A Candidate, His Minister and the Search for Faith:

While Mr. Obama stated his opposition to the Iraq war in conventional terms, Mr. Wright issued a “War on Iraq I.Q. Test,” with questions like, “Which country do you think poses the greatest threat to global peace: Iraq or the U.S.?”

 Mr. Wright, who has long prided himself on criticizing the establishment, said he knew that he may not play well in Mr. Obama’s audition for the ultimate establishment job.

“If Barack gets past the primary, he might have to publicly distance himself from me,” Mr. Wright said with a shrug. “I said it to Barack personally, and he said yeah, that might have to happen.”

From Obama’s Pastor Speaks Out:

Forgive me for having a momentary lapse. I forgot that The New York Times was leading the bandwagon in trumpeting why it is we should have gone into an illegal war. The New York Times became George Bush and the Republican Party’s national “blog.”  The New York Times played a role in the outing of Valerie Plame. I do not know why I thought The New York Times had actually repented and was going to exhibit a different kind of behavior.

From Barack Obama seeks to re-gain momentum (Obama’s response to his plan to cut NASA funding):

“I grew up with Star Trek. I believe in the final frontier,” he explained. “I understand the inspirational role our space programme plays. But Nasa has lost focus. It is no longer a source of inspiration. What we have to do is rediscover that excitement.”

Or how about this from Michelle Obama’s hospital: On senator’s wish-list:

Among the pork-barrel spending requests Barack Obama has made since arriving in the U.S. Senate is $1 million for the hospital where his wife worked at the time and $8 million for weapons technology made by a big defense contractor with close ties to a major fundraiser.

It looks like this all might start to get some press as new articles on the subject that are just now popping up.  I’m not posting all of this to say Obama is a bad guy, but all we keep being told is that he’s in it for “Change”, it’s not going to be “Politics as usual”… yet that’s exactly what all of this looks like to me.  Burying it doesn’t make it go away, you know.



+ Does Hillary lead in Delegates? By Jason 11 March 2008 at 3:13 pm 175 views No Comments

The short answer is “no”. Well, not in this universe, but that seems only to be because of the way Democrats have “split” the delegates, rather than have the “winner-take-all” system of the Republicans. A lot of people probably assume that Obama would be still winning had the Democrats used that system, but they’d be wrong. According to Electoral Vote, it looks like the only way Hillary isn’t currently winning is due to the fact that there isn’t a “winner-take-all” system in place. To quote the data:

Quite a few people have asked what would have happened if the Democrats had used a statewide winner-take-all rule. In other words, suppose the statewide winner got all the delegates. Where would be be now? Here is the answer. The calculation assumes Clinton won Nevada and Texas. She got more votes in Nevada but fewer delegates (by 1). She also won the popular vote in the Texas primary.

Hillary Clinton would have 1726 delegates to Barack Obama’s 1533. The reason the Democrats don’t have a winner-take-all rule is because they are Democrats. They don’t consider it fair that the birthday boy or girl gets to eat the whole cake. You have to share it with your friends. Republicans have a different world model. You either win or you lose. If you win you get to take all the marbles home. If you lose, you get no marbles. Try harder next time. If the Democrats had employed winner take all but for only 80% of the delegates leaving 20% for the PLEOs, the score now would be Clinton 1381, Obama 1226.

So there you have it… Obama should be counting his lucky stars that the Democrats don’t have a winner-take-all rule. The other interesting thing about this number is that Florida and Michigan aren’t included, so it shows Hillary would be ahead even without the help of those two states. I wonder if this will change anyone’s opinion on the whole race, or will maybe just be seen as an interesting fact.



+ Clinton crushes one out of the park! By Jason 05 March 2008 at 8:28 am 167 views No Comments

Rhode Island… done. Texas… outta here. Ohio… stick a fork in it. Last night Hillary Clinton not only stopped Obama’s winning streak, but with 3 large victories she stopped his momentum faster than a crash barrier could stop a speeding dump truck. Obama has to be hurting… not only has the press turned on him over the past couple days, but now his “sure thing” has become a little more unsure. To quote the article above:

And how did Obama react? He blew up during a Texas press conference heavily attended by Chicago journalists. He stormed off after only eight questions regarding the contacts between his campaign and Canadian diplomats over NAFTA and the Rezko trial. The national press had already been grumbling about his insularity, and Obama gave them an excuse to write reams of material about it, Rezko, and the NAFTA dance.

In short, Obama has exposed himself as a seriously inexperienced and flawed candidate. He hasn’t really been tested until now, and the glass jaw he showed in the first few days of the real bout must have the party establishment worried about a lengthy battle against either Hillary or McCain. Against both, he may soon flounder — and that slim lead in pledged delegates will not present much of an obstacle to bypassing him in Denver.

Yikes. Obama doesn’t do well when he’s not winning and everything isn’t rainbows and puppy dogs and sunshine it seems. Now, the one thing I keep hearing people say is “Well, he’s won more states! Hillary should just give up!” The only response I can give to that is, have you checked out the “popular” vote? Sure, Obama has a few more delegates and has won more states, but the man can’t seem to swing a big state to save himself. California? Clinton. New York? Clinton. Texas? Ohio? New Jersey? Clinton. Obama does great in small states like Alaska, North Dakota, Hawaii, etc… but he just can’t seem to get a big win. Not something someone trying to become President wants to see. Anyway, the popular vote… last week Obama’s camp said Hillary should drop out after losing 11 states in a row, but here is the current breakdown of the popular vote (as of 8:00AM CST from CNN.com):

Barack Obama: 13,423,474 (50.36%)

Hillary Clinton: 13,234,050 (49.64%)

Just a bit close, no? That’s a difference of only 189,424 people out of 26,657,524 votes… that translates into a 0.71% lead. Oh yeah, she really has no chance at all… you know, unless she actually starts winning states again (whoops, looks like that’s happening!). For those curious, these numbers include FL and MI, with Obama getting all the “non-Clinton” votes from MI and it does not include the Texas caucus (which is still being counted and too close to call).

In other news (meaning Republican news), Huckabee finally conceded defeat last night after losing to McCain. While this news is completely expected, it was nice to see him actually run the full race rather than just give up early on. So, the GOP finally has their nominee in the bag… now he just needs to pick a running mate. Let’s hope the Democrats figure this whole thing out soon before they’re left in the dust. Now, I’ve mentioned it before, but I’d love to see a Clinton-Obama ticket, and apparently so would Hillary:

With most political observers sound asleep after a long Tuesday evening that appeared to augur at least seven more weeks of possibly bitter and divisive struggle between the two Democrats until a potentially decisive Pennsylvania primary on April 22, Clinton went on some morning news programs, according to the Associated Press, and appeared to raise the possibility of a Clinton-Obama or Obama-Clinton ticket.

“That may be where this is headed,” she said, “but, of course, we have to decide who is on the top of ticket. I think the people of Ohio very clearly said that it should be me.”

Interesting… that’s the second time this has come from her camp, but the first time it has been mentioned by her. It’s also a smart move… it shows that she respects Obama and wants to try to re-unite the Democratic Party. It’s also a trap, as he’s kind of in trouble either way he answers. If he says “no”, then it make it look like he’s just trying to make a power grab, the nomination is his and only his! Screw the party!! If he says “yes” to the thought, then voters may start voting more for Hillary as it will stall his momentum more. Smart move by her any way you can look at it.

Well, it looks like we’ll be continuing on to the next races… fun fun fun! :)