Posts Tagged ‘ Election 2008

A History Lesson 02 April 2008 at 11:58 am by 10,070 views

I know there is tons of talk about “Electability” when it comes to the current Democratic Nominees and much talk about the Electoral Votes. The main issue seems to be, will their Primary wins translate into Electoral Vote wins? According to the latest Clinton/McCain and Obama/McCain charts, they’re not doing so well in the Electoral Vote area. So, who wants to see some maps?! I know I do! The starting map image was borrowed from Electoral-Vote.com, and I gathered the data and colored them in.

Let’s start with the Wins (and current predicted wins) for Obama/Clinton:

Current Democratic Primary Map

The biggest thing you can see here is that Obama rules the Midwest and South East, while the South West and North East go mainly to Clinton. Sure, that’s a generalization, as there are a few states that don’t fit the mold (Florida, Washington, Maine), but it’s a good sum up of their strengths. So, with seeing that map, most people say that Obama is great at winning Red States, while Clinton can easily pick up the “standard” Blue States. Is this really the case? Let’s go back a few elections and see which (if any) States are really “red” or “blue”. Read the rest of this entry →

+ Fairness when questioning the children of candidates By 02 April 2008 at 4:15 am 835 views 1 Comment

I came across this article at the Pensito Review talking about Chelsea Clinton getting asked once again about her father’s infidelities. The author brings up a couple great points:

Why should any philanderer’s daughter be asked to answer for her old man’s inability to keep his zipper shut? If there ever was a question that deserved to be ducked, it’s “What do you think about your dad’s extramarital affair?”

If we’re going to adopt this new level of accountability, it ought to be applied fairly. So it has to be fair game to ask John McCain’s daughter, Meghan, who also campaigns for her father, about his long-ago adulteries and more recent relationship with lobbyist Vicki Iseman; her mother Cindy McCain’s drug problem, which drove her to steal opoids from the medical charity she established; and the involvement of both her parents in the Keating Five Scandal back in 1989.

This is something that has been bugging me for awhile now. Let’s say that Chelsea did have an answer for her Dad’s behavior. What does this change? What does this have to do about her mother’s campaign? In my mind, absolutely nothing. I believe it’s just another attempt to remind everyone about the Lewinsky scandal however they can. Let’s be honest, if my father committed adultery (which, to my knowledge, he hasn’t), I’d be absolutely outraged if someone came up to me or one of my siblings and asked us to answer for him. It’s amazing what people can get away with during a political campaign… I mean, when else is it acceptable for things like this? And if it is now acceptable, like it was stated above, why aren’t we questioning Meghan McCain?

My big question is, if Obama wins the nomination, will we see more attacks against McCain, as Hillary won’t be around? Or will the attacks just increase against Obama? It’s disheartening to read things like:

The Rasmussen poll says only 56 percent of Clinton supporters say they would vote for Obama over McCain if Obama wins the nomination compared with 40 percent who said they would not likely vote for him. If Clinton won, 69 percent of Obama supporters would vote for her compared with 29 percent who would not.

I continue to fear that no matter what happens, Clinton or Obama, we may be faced with McCain in the White House. The only thing I can see stopping this is if there is an alternate ballot at the DNC with someone everyone can agree on (Al Gore is the name bandied around). We’ll have to wait and see, but it worries me.

+ Electoral Votes! By 24 March 2008 at 9:10 am 460 views No Comments

With so much time being spent on polls and such on the 2008 Primary, Electoral-Votes.com decided to start a running Electoral Vote map. The first map is a Barack Obama vs. John McCain, and the other is Hillary Clinton vs. John McCain. He will be updating the maps daily, and here’s what he has to say about them:

Starting today and until we have a Democratic nominee, two maps will be available for the general election, one for Obama-McCain and one for Clinton-McCain. Links to them will be given below the main map. Please keep in mind that in politics, a week is a long time and 7 months is forever. If you doubt this, check out the electoral college graph for 2004. Notice that Kerry was ahead by 125-150 electoral votes all summer, until the Swift Boat ad started, which precipitated a huge decline from which he never recovered. This graph will be run again this year, but we need a pair of nominees first.

Nevertheless, from a quick inspection of the Obama-McCain and Clinton-McCain maps you can see graphically what you probably already knew. Hillary Clinton is a traditional Democrat and does well in places Democrats usually do well in. She also does well in Florida due to the large number of New York snowbirds who live there in the winter. If she is the nominee, you are going to see a monumental traffic jam Nov. 1 all up and down the East Coast as hundreds of thousands of snowbirds drive down to Florida in time to vote there Nov. 4. Of course, McCain can neutralize her by picking popular Florida governor Charlie Crist as his running mate.

Clinton also does well in the rust belt, but if the economy is in deep doo doo come November, any Democrat can win those states by just talking jobs jobs jobs instead of tax cuts. Obama’s strength is in the red states. He might be able to win Colorado (which has been trending blue anyway) and Nevada. No matter what the map shows, he’s not going to win North Dakota unless buffalos get the vote real quick. But he could easily force McCain to spend real money in states that ought to be no-brainers, like Texas (SurveyUSA’s poll shows McCain ahead of Obama there only 47% to 46%). In short, Clinton’s slogan will be “Kerry + Florida whereas Obama will be playing Howard Dean’s 50-state strategy.

So, with all that… what do the current numbers show? Let’s take a look. First up, Obama/McCain:

Obama/McCain Map

Electoral Votes: Obama 231 — McCain 292 — Ties 15

Ouch. Hello President McCain as of today’s numbers. Now it’s on to Clinton/McCain:

Clinton/McCain Map

Electoral Votes: Clinton 268 — McCain 246 — Ties 24

Would you look at that? Hello Mrs. President as of today’s numbers. Interesting! It’ll be neat to see how these maps change over the course of the next few months!

+ Good News, Everyone! By 20 March 2008 at 12:30 pm 351 views No Comments

The second Futurama movie now has a release date… June 24th! That is less than 100 days away! The movie will be a direct sequel to Bender’s Big Score and will be titled “The Beast With A Billion Backs”. Here is a little more info:

As Bender’s Big Score gets set to air in four installments on Comedy Central later this month, Fox Home Entertainment ahs announced that the next adventure in the series of Futurama DVD movies will be available at retail this summer. The Fate of human and robot-kind is at stake when Futurama: The Beast With A Billion Backs debuts at retail on June 24.

In what Fox is calling the most tentacle-packed Futurama epic, space itself rips open, revealing a gateway to another universe. What lies beyond is a mix of horror and love as the Planet Express crew encounters a repulsive, planet-sized monster with romantic intentions.

The second feature-length Futurama film will be followed by at least two more movies from series creators Matt Groening and David X. Cohen. The show’s entire voice cast and most of its main writers have returned to help revive the series, which FOX cancelled in 2003. Groening, who also created The Simpsons, has told us that Futurama is the animated show he’s most proud of. Those who haven’t picked up Bender’s Big Score on DVD yet can catch it on Comedy Central on March 23 at 8 p.m.

If that wasn’t enough, South Park is now airing all their episodes for free on their website… check it out here:

South Park Studios

Awesome, awesome news! One last thing that I’m sure will make you all happy… Hillary Clinton has regained her lead over Barack Obama. Check out the article here… or just read below:

Hillary Clinton has reclaimed the lead from Barack Obama in the Democratic presidential race for the first time since early February, a new national poll out Thursday suggests.

In the latest Gallup daily tracking poll, Clinton holds a 7 point lead over the Illinois senator, 49 to 42 percent. That lead is outside the poll’s statistical margin of error of 3 points — the widest gap between the two candidates in weeks.

Clinton’s last lead was in a Gallup poll taken just after the round Super Tuesday contests, and the two candidates have been statistically tied since. But Obama has held a numerical lead over Clinton for most of that time, and started to decline in the tracking poll late last week — a sign the uproar over his former pastor’s sermon’s may be taking its toll.

It’ll be interesting to see where that goes… can Barack regain his momentum? Will Hillary ride this wave through Pennsylvania and beyond? As usual, only time will tell!